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Original Research

Open Access

Breast cancer recurrence time prediction based on the MOPSO-RF model

  • Jian Wang1,2,3
  • Hao Li1,2,3
  • Shujuan Yuan3,*,
  • Fengchun Liu1,2,3,4
  • Aimin Yang1,2,3,4
  • Dianbo Hua5

1Hebei Key Laboratory of Data Science and Application, North China University of Science and Technology, 063210 Tangshan, Hebei, China

2The Key Laboratory of Engineering Computing in Tangshan City, North China University of Science and Technology, 063210 Tangshan, Hebei, China

3College of Science, North China University of Science and Technology, 063210 Tangshan, Hebei, China

4Tangshan Intelligent Industry and Image Processing Technology Innovation Center, North China University of Science and Technology, 063210 Tangshan, Hebei, China

5Beijing Sitairui Cancer Data Analysis Joint Laboratory, 101100 Beijing, China

DOI: 10.22514/ejgo.2025.068 Vol.46,Issue 5,May 2025 pp.79-91

Submitted: 02 August 2023 Accepted: 26 September 2023

Published: 15 May 2025

*Corresponding Author(s): Shujuan Yuan E-mail: yuanshujuan@ncst.edu.cn

Abstract

Background: Cancer is a complex disease where malignant tumors have high clinical incidence and mortality rates. A significant risk of postoperative recurrence also exists. This work was aimed at diagnosing the time to postoperative cancer recurrence which could help the patients. The post-operative breast cancer recovery data from Beijing Stre Cancer Data Analysis Joint Laboratory was utilized. The study was conducted to determine the weighting of adaptive symptoms regarding the time to breast cancer recurrence by selecting six indicators, i.e., immune, tumour, microenvironmental, psychological, nutritional and aerobic exercise and progressive work, involved in the mechanism of breast cancer recovery. Methods: A multi-objective particle swarm optimised random forest (MOPSO-RF) model for the adjuvant cancer diagnosis was introduced to predict the time to breast cancer recurrence. The random forest model was optimised to verify its accuracy. The multi-objective optimisation combined each indicator with time to the breast cancer recurrence to get an objective function for finding the optimal Pareto solution. Results: The results exhibited that the constructed model was effective in predicting the time to breast cancer recurrence and thus provided early warning indications in this regard. Conclusions: The model achieved 92.17% forecast accuracy compared to the Gradient Boosted Tree (GBDT), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Linear/Logistic Regression (LR), XGBoost and Random Forest (RF) algorithm models.


Keywords

Multi-objective optimization; Particle swarm optimization; Random forest; Recurrence time; Assisted diagnosis; Cancer prediction


Cite and Share

Jian Wang, Hao Li, Shujuan Yuan, Fengchun Liu, Aimin Yang, Dianbo Hua. Breast cancer recurrence time prediction based on the MOPSO-RF model. European Journal of Gynaecological Oncology. 2025; 46(5): 79-91. doi: 10.22514/ejgo.2025.068

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